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A Look at the Shipping Market in 2009…

In order to get a better appreciation of what transpired in the shipping market through 2009 one need step back from the year itself and look to see when the historical correction took place and how the freight market has subsequently bounced back.

The summer of 2008 had in store bleak news for most in the financial service sectors – dry bulk shipping was not spared either. The last six months of 2008 in fact presented an unprecedented down turn with freight indices experiencing what can only be described as a “never before experienced freefall”. On the opening bell for 2009 almost all in the shipping markets looked to one another as if to ask “What now?” Traders were unable to open freely the letters of credit they had been accustomed to, bankers tightened lending, and prospective spot buyers and sellers watched each other as though playing the final hand in a high stakes poker game.

 

What in reality happened was that financial confidence measures via global stimulus packages allowed global trade to get back on track albeit that the primary driver was and remains Asia centric and today by comparison to pre 2003 levels shipping rates are extremely healthy. There remains however the caveat that the new building programme of dry bulk vessels over the coming three years remains a very real challenge particularly when one considers a possible 85 percent fleet expansion in the Cape size segments and around 50 percent in both the Panamax and Handymax segments.

To end on a positive note the Asia pacific region presents great opportunity for further growth in the coming years and this growth will be fueled with the need for primary dry bulk commodities that require industrial transportation.